First Journal Paper Published - ExoPrompt in Computers and Electronics in Agriculture

Thrilled to share that my first journal paper as a PhD student has been published!

ExoPrompt: Transformer-Based Greenhouse Climate Forecasting with Structured Conditioning and Physics-Based Simulation is now out in Computers and Electronics in Agriculture.

This work started from a simple but important question: how do you build a climate forecasting model that actually generalizes across different greenhouses, crops, and environmental conditions – when real-world sensor data is scarce? Our answer is ExoPrompt, a lightweight conditioning mechanism inspired by prompt tuning in NLP. It encodes structural, environmental, and crop-level attributes into learnable prompt representations, allowing the model to adapt to diverse scenarios without heavy architectural changes.

The pipeline combines the best of both worlds: synthetic data generated from the physics-based GreenLight simulator for pretraining, followed by fine-tuning on limited real-world sensor data.

Highlights

  • Simulation-based pretraining reduces real-world prediction error by up to 84.94% for CO2 over simulator-only baselines
  • Conditioning on exogenous parameters further reduces RRMSE by up to 18.79% compared to vanilla models
  • Controlled experiments validate ExoPrompt’s robustness under distributional shifts, achieving up to 49.20% RRMSE reduction for CO2
  • ExoPrompt lays a foundation for predictive digital twins in smart greenhouse control

Deeply grateful to my supervisors Önder Babur and Qingzhi Liu, and my chair Bedir Tekinerdogan for their guidance and support throughout this journey. This one means a lot!